The Video Library

Reaction Levels: Where Your Stop Belongs

Why most levels do nothing, what separates a level the market has to respect from one drawn out of hope, and why the stop belongs on the far side of it rather than a fixed number of points away.

Order Flow Confirmation: Delta & Cluster

The difference between price arriving at a level and size actually defending it — read through delta and cluster rather than through the shape of a candle.

Options Data for Futures Traders

How the options market leaves a footprint on the futures chart, and how dealer positioning quietly decides where the day is likely to stall or accelerate.

Why Smart Money Concepts Stopped Working for You

The honest post-mortem on a framework that describes the market beautifully after the fact and leaves you guessing before it.

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The Fund That Made 1,000% and Died in Fifteen Minutes

The S&P 500 fell about 4%; the VIX rose 116%, the largest one-day move in its history. A $1.9bn short-volatility product with a seven-year record lost 96% after the cash market had already closed — and the flow that did it was mechanical, public and visible in advance.

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October 19–23: They Did Not Paint the Data

The expectation was a conveniently soft CPI before the elections. It did not arrive, so the Fed can hike on the 28th if it wants to. Zones across the euro, the pound, the Aussie and gold.

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October 12–16: A Reversal Day, and Odds Down to 17%

The market has relaxed — only 17% of a hike is priced in ahead of the elections — and Wednesday looks like a reversal day on the risk assets. Zones across the euro, the pound, Bitcoin and Solana.

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October 5–9: The 10-Year at 2006 Levels

The US 10-year yield has run into levels last seen in 2006–07 and cannot get past them. That chart sets the week — gold targets, what the euro has left to lean on, and why French debt deserves more attention than it gets.

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